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Record W2086012744 · doi:10.1037/a0029253

Individual influence on model selection.

2012· article· en· W2086012744 on OpenAlexaff
Sonya K. Sterba, Jolynn Pek

Bibliographic record

VenuePsychological Methods · 2012
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
Canadian institutionsYork University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsAkaike information criterionBayesian information criterionModel selectionSelection (genetic algorithm)Ranking (information retrieval)GeneralityInformation CriteriaComputer scienceBayesian probabilityDeviance information criterionMultilevel modelEconometricsBayesian inferenceStatisticsData miningMachine learningArtificial intelligencePsychologyMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Researchers in psychology are increasingly using model selection strategies to decide among competing models, rather than evaluating the fit of a given model in isolation. However, such interest in model selection outpaces an awareness that one or a few cases can have disproportionate impact on the model ranking. Though case influence on the fit of a single model in isolation has been often studied, case influence on model selection results is greatly underappreciated in psychology. This article introduces the issue of case influence on model selection and proposes 3 influence diagnostics for commonly used selection indices: the chi-square difference test, Bayesian information criterion, and Akaike's information criterion. These 3 diagnostics can be obtained simply from the byproducts of full information maximum likelihood estimation without heavy computational burden. We provide practical information on the interpretation and behavior of these diagnostics for applied researchers and provide software code to facilitate their use. Simulated and empirical examples involving different kinds of model comparison scenarios encountered in cross-sectional, longitudinal, and multilevel research as well as involving different kinds of outcome distributions illustrate the generality of the proposed diagnostics. An awareness of how cases influence model selection results is shown to aid researchers in understanding how representative their sample level results are at the case level.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.146
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.547
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.146
Threshold uncertainty score0.773

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.1460.547
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.003
Bibliometrics0.0040.002
Science and technology studies0.0020.005
Scholarly communication0.0050.005
Open science0.0020.006
Research integrity0.0020.005
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.301
GPT teacher head0.555
Teacher spread0.254 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations26
Published2012
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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