Does the route of administration for estrogen hormone therapy impact the risk of venous thromboembolism? Estradiol transdermal system versus oral estrogen-only hormone therapy
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to quantify the magnitude of risk reduction for venous thromboembolism events associated with an estradiol transdermal system relative to oral estrogen-only hormone therapy agents. METHODS: A claims analysis was conducted using the Thomson Reuters MarketScan database from January 2002 to October 2009. Participants 35 years or older who were newly using an estradiol transdermal system or an oral estrogen-only hormone therapy with two or more dispensings were analyzed. Venous thromboembolism was defined as one or more diagnosis codes for deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism. Cohorts of estradiol transdermal system and oral estrogen-only hormone therapy were matched 1:1 based on both exact factor and propensity score matching, and an incidence rate ratio was used to compare the rates of venous thromboembolism between the matched cohorts. Remaining baseline imbalances from matching were included as covariates in multivariate adjustments. RESULTS: Among the matched estradiol transdermal system and oral estrogen-only hormone therapy users (27,018 women in each group), the mean age of the cohorts was 48.9 years; in each cohort, 6,044 (22.4%) and 1,788 (6.6%) participants had a hysterectomy and an oophorectomy at baseline, respectively. A total of 115 estradiol transdermal system users developed venous thromboembolism, compared with 164 women in the estrogen-only hormone therapy cohort (unadjusted incidence rate ratio, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.57-0.91; P = 0.006). After adjustment for confounding factors, the incidence of venous thromboembolism remained significantly lower for estradiol transdermal system users than for estrogen-only hormone therapy users. CONCLUSIONS: This large population-based study suggests that participants receiving an estradiol transdermal system have a significantly lower incidence of venous thromboembolism than do participants receiving oral estrogen-only hormone therapy.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".