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Record W2091289282 · doi:10.1017/s0021911809000321

Changing Lanes in China: Foreign Direct Investment, Local Governments, and Auto Sector Development. By Eric Thun. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2006. xiii, 326 pp. $78.00 (cloth); $29.99 (paper).

2009· article· en· W2091289282 on OpenAlexaff
Gregory Chin

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Journal of Asian Studies · 2009
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicAsian Industrial and Economic Development
Canadian institutionsYork University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsChinaModernization theoryDynamismAutomotive industryForeign direct investmentOrthodoxyState (computer science)Political scienceDevelopmental stateEconomyPolitical economyEconomic historyEconomic systemEconomicsPoliticsEngineeringHistoryLaw

Abstract

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In the aftermath of the East Asian financial crisis of 1997–98, it would have been easy to join the new orthodoxy proclaiming that “the state” in the Asian region had played a negative role in guiding industrial modernization, leading to “crony capitalism” in state–business relations. Criticism of the Asian developmental state became the new conventional wisdom, as the state was no longer seen as the source of Asian dynamism but rather the main cause of the meltdown. Eric Thun's well-researched and strongly argued study of China's automotive development, focusing on the time span of the early 1980s until the late 1990s, addresses this issue at several levels. First, it challenges the postcrisis orthodoxy, focusing on the constructive role of the local developmental state and local networks of firms in driving China's automotive modernization from the mid-1980s onward. Second, it examines how two decades of reform, development, and foreign investment have prepared state-owned Chinese auto firms for the challenge of global integration. Third, it sheds light on future challenges for China's auto industry, examining how deepening integration and recent shifts in the global automotive industry have exposed inherent weaknesses in even the most advanced Chinese automotive corporations.Clearly written and well organized, Thun's study is indispensable reading for those interested in the keys to the success of industrial development inside China and in China's future development prospects in the automotive sector, and it stands to be one of the most important books on the political economy of China's industrial development in recent years. Its findings are mainly drawn from an impressive data set that Thun accumulated through 187 structured but open-ended interviews with a broad range of key participant-observers over an eight-year period across five municipalities and at the central level. The primary sources were then supplemented with information from statistical yearbooks, planning documents, newspaper reports, academic journals, and commercial sources.The book begins by outlining the broader national context for the local developmental efforts, analyzing the role played by the central government in auto sector development. The second part highlights the key variables examined in each of the case studies, specifically bureaucratic structures as they relate to investment and interfirm relations, and chronicles the details of each case of the local case studies: Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Changchun, and Wuhan. The primary goal is to understand how differences in outcomes correlate to different institutional patterns. The secondary objective is to account for differences in the choice of developmental strategy that correlate to local historical and political factors that precondition each municipality's approach to auto sector development. An important insight in the book is that the initial institutional characteristics that were set in place at the outset of the auto modernization drive within a particular municipal locale—specifically the institutional nexus between the local Chinese automotive enterprises, the local state, and the foreign automakers—set the local automotive industry on a specific development path and shaped longer-term outcomes in each locale.Thun develops a typology of three patterns of institutional arrangements in the Chinese auto sector—the laissez-faire local states of Beijing and Guangzhou, the firm-dominated localities of Changchun and Wuhan, and the local developmental state of Shanghai municipality—and suggests how these varying forms of local state–local firm relations essentially determine developmental success or lack thereof. The book ends by discussing how recent changes in the global automotive industry, especially deepening integration, have created new challenges for Chinese firms to further upgrade technology and improve corporate governance. Institutional structures that proved useful for Shanghai during the early stage of modernization, for example, have become impediments to further growth and international competitiveness in the second stage.Thun is clear to stipulate that the Chinese nation-state is pressured from above by changes related to globalization and from below by decentralization dynamics involving local states seeking new opportunities for development. The latter trend is explored in depth and forms the core of the book. However, the study is less consistent in integrating the role of global or international factors as causal factors. Variation in international factors, such as how different automotive multinationals intervened in varying ways in each of the municipal case studies, and how their interventions also played a key role in determining outcomes, is left unexamined in the most important parts of the discussion, the case studies in chapters 3 to 6. The relationship between international and domestic factors is brought into focus in the final three chapters, when the author discusses the challenges of deeper global integration for the local Chinese firms.Despite the inconsistency, Thun's study is an excellent work of political science and comparative political economy that offers important and groundbreaking findings and coherent analysis. It is exceptional in terms of depth and breadth of empirical research. The book is a must-read for the broader audience that wants to understand how political and economic institutional arrangements affect the ability of a developing country to promote the growth of supply networks around a core foreign-invested project. Perhaps most important, it focuses attention on the pressing need to examine how globalization and the shifting needs of capital and technology-intensive industrial sectors necessitate a more nuanced role for the state in development, a role that has been crucial in China's industrial modernization during the reform period, and once again places issues of political economy and industrial development at the center of Chinese politics.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.554
Threshold uncertainty score0.619

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.033
GPT teacher head0.235
Teacher spread0.202 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2009
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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