Historic Performance-Based Distribution System Risk Assessment
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Regulatory authorities are increasingly adopting performance-based regulation (PBR) in the deregulated electricity industry. A PBR regime is intended to provide distribution utilities with incentives for economic efficiency gains. In order to discourage distribution utilities from sacrificing service reliability while pursuing economic incentives, historic utility performance is utilized as the specified service reliability standard in some places. A reward/penalty structure based on the historic reliability record could be integrated into a PBR plan. Historic reliability data are therefore, extremely important for distribution system risk assessment and remedial work in this new regime. This paper presents actual reliability data taken from the Canadian Electricity Association (CEA) Service Continuity Reports. The financial risk analyzes associated with the historic reliability data are conducted by incorporating reliability index probability distributions in imposed reward/penalty policies. The major cause contributions to the service continuity indices utilizing the CEA cause code categories are analyzed and illustrated. This work should prove useful for those utilities facing the emerging application of PBR.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it