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Record W2103066546 · doi:10.1109/pess.2000.867636

Real-time load forecasting by artificial neural networks

2002· article· en· W2103066546 on OpenAlexaff
S.S. Sharif, John H. Taylor

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicEnergy Load and Power Forecasting
Canadian institutionsUniversity of New Brunswick
Fundersnot available
KeywordsArtificial neural networkComputer scienceScheduling (production processes)Interval (graph theory)Electric power systemPeak loadTerm (time)Real-time computingOperations researchPower (physics)Artificial intelligenceEngineeringAutomotive engineeringOperations management

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The application of artificial neural networks (ANNs) to the real-time load forecasting (RTLF) problem is presented. The term RTLF is used for the prediction of the power system load over an interval ranging from one hour to several hours. This issue is becoming increasingly important with the approach of the open access market with the scheduling of buy/sell transactions as short as half an hour in advance. Separate ANNs are utilized for load forecasting of one hour to four hours ahead. The load forecast of these networks are compared with the of one day ahead load forecast results. Based on simulation results, by utilizing ANN, two objectives are obtained: (1) a more accurate hourly load is predicted; and (2) any near-term buy/sell transactions are fitted in the optimal MW dispatch scheduling. The authors' approach is demonstrated by detailed study of New Brunswick Power data.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.010
Threshold uncertainty score0.020

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.020
GPT teacher head0.192
Teacher spread0.172 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations17
Published2002
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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