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Record W2104062542 · doi:10.1126/sageke.2002.21.nw72

Procreation Penalty? Scientists challenge prevailing theory of reproduction and longevity (Reproduction; Evolution)

2002· article· en· W2104062542 on OpenAlex
R. John Davenport

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueScience of Aging Knowledge Environment · 2002
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldBiochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
TopicGenetics, Aging, and Longevity in Model Organisms
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsReproductionLongevityFertilityDemographyCreaturesDaughterStatisticianEvolutionary theoryBirth controlPsychologyGerontologyHistorySociologyBiologyMedicinePopulationEcologyEvolutionary biologyResearch methodologyPhilosophyEpistemology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

"You've taken 20 years off my life," the mother complains to her rebellious teenage daughter. Many scientists believe that's no exaggeration: According to a theory of aging, living things must choose whether to perpetuate their genes or preserve themselves. Now, a new study claims to have overturned the idea. But some researchers say the data support the conventional wisdom. Studies of fruit flies bolster the notion that creatures face a tradeoff between reproduction and survival: Flies that delay reproduction outlive earlier breeders. A 1996 study of British royalty suggested that the same holds true for humans: Blue bloods who bore children earlier died younger than those who reproduced later. But statistician Hans-Georg Müller of the University of California, Davis, and colleagues questioned the conclusions from the study on humans, suspecting that changes in reproductive patterns skewed the analysis. Müller and colleagues analyzed demographic data on French-Canadian women from the 17th and 18th centuries, selected because of the short time period during which they lived and because of their high fertility rates--more than half of the women gave birth to at least eight children. The group exhibits human reproductive potential unchecked by birth control, according to Müller. He and his colleagues examined data that indicated how many children the women had, how old they were when they gave birth, and when the women died. The researchers looked for mortality trends associated with number of children. They selected only women who died at age 50 or older to exclude mothers who perished during childbirth, a significant killer at that time, says Müller. Using several statistical analyses, they found that women with more children outlived women with fewer offspring. They also discovered that, among 50-year-old women, those with the youngest children lived the longest. Additional number crunching revealed that the age of a 50-year-old mother's youngest child better predicted her longevity than did her total number of children. The study suggests that the presence of young children later in life fosters longevity, says Müller, but it doesn't explain why the link exists. Nevertheless, he says, it shows that the "cost-of-reproduction theory is just plain wrong." Other researchers disagree. "It may not be the offspring themselves that are contributing to longevity," says demographer S. Jay Olshansky of the University of Illinois, Chicago. Instead, he says that the potential to produce those offspring is a more likely influence on life-span. "And that's precisely what you'd predict from evolutionary theory: Females that are capable of producing offspring later will live longer." By choosing women who had reached age 50, he adds, the researchers might have selected a group of hardy individuals with an unusual capacity for surviving childbirth and other dangers. Still, he says the authors make a valuable contribution: "They've added to the evidence that already existed linking reproduction and mortality; they did an elegant job of demonstrating that [link] for humans." As scientists debate the interpretation, parents will likely continue to ponder whether their own offspring shrink their lives or just their bank accounts. --R. John Davenport; suggested by Donna Holmes H.-G. Müller, J.-M. Chiou, J. R. Carey, J.-L. Wang, Fertility and life span: late children enhance female longevity. J. Gerontol. A Biol. Sci. Med. Sci. 57 , B202-B206 (2002). [Abstract] [Full Text]

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Bench or experimental · Consensus signal: Bench or experimental
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.046
Threshold uncertainty score0.530

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.016
GPT teacher head0.230
Teacher spread0.215 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it