Thermal models of the Mexico subduction zone: Implications for the megathrust seismogenic zone
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Full frame distilled prediction
Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
- Candidate categories
- none
- Consensus categories
- none
- Domain
- Candidate signal: noneConsensus signal: none
- Study design
- Candidate signal: ObservationalConsensus signal: none
- Genre
- Candidate signal: EmpiricalConsensus signal: Empirical
- Teacher disagreement score
- 0.846
- Threshold uncertainty score
- 0.670
- Validation status
machine_predicted_unvalidated·codex-gemma-dda1882f352a
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
- Teacher spread
- 0.224 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
- Validation status
score_only:v0-immature-baseline· verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it
Abstract
It has been proposed that the seismogenic zone of subduction thrust faults is primarily controlled by temperature or rock composition changes. We have developed numerical models of the thermal structure of the Mexico subduction zone to examine the factors that affect the temperature of the subduction thrust fault. Although the oceanic plates subducting beneath Mexico are young, the top of the oceanic plate at the trench is cool, because of the lack of a thick cover of insulating sediments. Marine heat flow observations suggest that hydrothermal circulation may further cool the oceanic plate. This results in a cool subduction thrust fault, where the brittle part of the fault extends to depths of over 40 km. At these depths, even slight frictional heating may have significant effects on temperature along the thrust fault, particularly for regions with a high convergence rate and shallow plate dip. With the addition of a small amount of frictional heating, the temperatures of the deep (30–40 km) thrust fault are increased by over 200°C. As the observed downdip limit of rupture in recent well‐constrained megathrust earthquakes is confined to depths above the intersection of the thrust fault and the continental Moho, a temperature of 350°C may control the downdip extent of the seismogenic zone. Thus, in order to be consistent with the observed shallow rupture areas, it is necessary to include a small amount of frictional heating, corresponding to an average shear stress of 15 MPa.
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The record
- Venue
- Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
- Topic
- earthquake and tectonic studies
- Field
- Earth and Planetary Sciences
- Canadian institutions
- University of VictoriaGeological Survey of Canada
- Funders
- not available
- Keywords
- GeologySubductionSeismologyFault (geology)Thrust faultThrustConvergent boundaryTrenchShear zoneOceanic crustPetrologyTectonics
- Has abstract in OpenAlex
- yes