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Do Sheep Cause Wars?

2006· article· en· W2111276597 on OpenAlexaffabout
David A. Welch

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Studies Review · 2006
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicWorld Systems and Global Transformations
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsRivalryPoliticsPolitical scienceMedia studiesHistoryLawLibrary scienceClassicsEconomic historySociologyEconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

International conflict can emerge from seemingly benign interactions. In 1955, some 480 sheep straying into Jordan from Israel led Israeli defense minister Moshe Dayan to call for immediate military action against Jordan (p. xv). So begins Michael Colaresi's fascinating book, Scare Tactics: The Politics of International Rivalry. Actually, the answer is “no.” Sheep do not cause wars. In principle, Colaresi argues, sheep could trigger a war, but only in the context of an ongoing international rivalry and only when “a distinct constellation of domestic and international pressures” exists (p. xvi). Given that the Israeli sheep in 1955 did not trigger a war, the book's setup is a “bait-and-switch.” So is the book's title. It has nothing to do with “scare tactics.” Nonetheless, it is well worth reading. Colaresi's real goal is to improve our understanding of the circumstances under which rivalries will escalate or...

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.010
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.010
Threshold uncertainty score0.033

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.010
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0020.006
Scholarly communication0.0050.007
Open science0.0000.002
Research integrity0.0030.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0100.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.085
GPT teacher head0.424
Teacher spread0.339 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2006
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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