Integrating remote sensing and past inventory data under the new annual design of the Swiss National Forest Inventory using three-phase design-based regression estimation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In 2009, the Swiss National Forest Inventory (NFI) turned from a periodic into an annual measurement design in which only one-ninth of the overall sample of permanent plots is measured every year. The reduction in sample size due to the implementation of the annual design results in an unacceptably large increase in variance when using the standard simple random sampling estimator. Thus, a flexible estimation procedure using two- and three-phase regression estimators is presented with a special focus on utilizing updating techniques to account for disturbances and growth and is applied to the second and third Swiss NFIs. The first phase consists of a dense sample of systematically distributed plots on a 500 m × 500 m grid for which auxiliary variables are obtained through the interpretation of aerial photographs. The second phase is an eightfold looser subgrid with terrestrial plot data collected from the past inventory, and the third and final phase consists of the three most recent annual subgrids with the current state of the target variable (stem volume). The proposed three-phase estimators reduce the increase in variance from 294% to 145% compared with the estimator based on the full periodic sample while remaining unbiased.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.007 | 0.011 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".