Parameter and state estimation in nonlinear stochastic continuous‐time dynamic models with unknown disturbance intensity
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimation (AMLE) is an algorithm for estimating the states and parameters of models described by stochastic differential equations (SDEs). In previous work (Varziri et al., Ind. Eng. Chem. Res., 47 (2), 380‐393, (2008); Varziri et al., Comp. Chem. Eng., in press), AMLE was developed for SDE systems in which process‐disturbance intensities and measurement‐noise variances were assumed to be known. In the current article, a new formulation of the AMLE objective function is proposed for the case in which measurement‐noise variance is available but the process‐disturbance intensity is not known a priori. The revised formulation provides estimates of the model parameters and disturbance intensities, as demonstrated using a nonlinear CSTR simulation study. Parameter confidence intervals are computed using theoretical linearization‐based expressions. The proposed method compares favourably with a Kalman‐filter‐based maximum likelihood method. The resulting parameter estimates and information about model mismatch will be useful to chemical engineers who use fundamental models for process monitoring and control.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".