Combination of General Antithetic Transformations and Control Variables
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Several methods for reducing the variance in the context of Monte Carlo simulation are based on correlation induction. This includes antithetic variates, Latin hypercube sampling, and randomized version of quasi-Monte Carlo methods such as lattice rules and digital nets, where the resulting estimators are usually weighted averages of several dependent random variables that can be seen as function evaluations at a finite set of random points in the unit hypercube. In this paper, we consider a setting where these methods can be combined with the use of control variates and we provide conditions under which we can formally prove that the variance is minimized by choosing equal weights and equal control variate coefficients across the different points of evaluation, regardless of the function (integrand) that is evaluated.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it