The Dwelling-Type Choices of Older Canadians and Future Housing Demand: An Investigation Using the Aging and Social Support Survey (GSS16)
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Using the 2002 Aging and Social Support Survey (GSS16), multinomial logit regression, and cohort-component projection techniques, this study explored how social support networks, health, and economic characteristics have shaped the residential choices of older Canadians, and predicts how they are likely to do so in the future. It focused on the distribution of 55-to-75-year-olds across three private-dwelling types: general community living, age-restricted housing, and age-restricted housing with nursing care. The analysis shows that social support characteristics are the strongest predictors of dwelling type, meaning that individuals appear to choose their dwellings largely on the basis of their social needs and wants, rather than on their economic or health characteristics. The analysis also indicates an increased age-specific demand for all dwelling types in the future, but with a reduction of over 2 million older Canadians living in dwellings in the general community between 2002 and 2022.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".