Which Pneumococcal Serogroups Cause the Most Invasive Disease: Implications for Conjugate Vaccine Formulation and Use, Part I
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We analyzed >70 recent data sets to compare the serogroups causing invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) with those represented in conjugate vaccine formulations. Five to 8 and 10-11 serogroups comprise at least 75% of pneumococcal isolates from young children and older children/adults, respectively, in each geographic region. Serogroups in the 7-valent formulation (4, 6, 9, 14, 18, 19, and 23) cause 70%-88% of IPD in young children in the United States and Canada, Oceania, Africa, and Europe, and <65% in Latin America and Asia. Serogroups in the 9-valent formulation (7-valent+1, 5) cause 80%-90% of IPD in each region except Asia (66%). Serogroup 1 accounts for >6% of IPD in each region, including Europe, except the United States and Canada and Oceania. In contrast, several serogroups not found in 7-, 9-, and 11-valent conjugate formulations are significant causes of disease in older children/adults. Nevertheless, each conjugate formulation could prevent a substantial IPD burden in each region and age group.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.016 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".