Possible controls of hydrogeological and stress regimes on the producibility of coalbed methane in Upper Cretaceous–Tertiary strata of the Alberta basin, Canada
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract The coalbed methane potential and producibility of any coal-bearing strata are strongly affected by the hydrogeological regime of formation waters and by coal permeability, which in turn depends on the effective stress regime of the coals. Peat that accumulated in the Alberta basin during the Late Cretaceous and early Tertiary led to the formation of coal deposits that may contain significant coalbed methane resources. The flow of formation waters plays an important role in the maintenance and producibility of this resource. The present-day flow is driven by gravity (topography) and erosional rebound and is controlled by rock permeability and the presence of gas-saturated sandstones. The estimated gas in place in the Tertiary–Upper Cretaceous coals decreases significantly with stratigraphic age, ranging between less than 2 bcf/mi2 in the lower coal zones and 12 bcf/mi2 in the uppermost coals. The gas content, especially of the deeper coals, is lower than would be expected for the corresponding coal rank and burial depth, most likely because the underpressuring has caused the release of gas from the coals and accumulation in adjacent sands. The shallow coals, although of low rank, may contain important amounts of late-stage biogenic methane. The salinity of formation water in shallow coal seams, where the flow is driven by topography, is low, generally less than 1500 mg/L, although in places, it reaches 3000–5000 mg/L. The salinity of formation water in the deeper, underpressured strata in the west-central part of the basin is significantly higher, reaching 18,000 mg/L. This affects treatment and/or disposal strategies with regard to the water produced concurrent to coalbed methane. The producibility of this resource depends on coal permeability, which decreases west-southwestward with increasing burial depth, from the order of several darcys in the shallow zones to millidarcys in the deep zones. The minimum effective stress, which affects coal permeability by closing fractures, increases west-southwestward from zero at the erosional edge of these strata to approximately 20 MPa near the Rocky Mountain deformation front. Fractures, including those in coal seams, will generally be vertical and will propagate on a southwest-northeast axis along the direction of the maximum horizontal stress, in a direction generally perpendicular to the Rocky Mountain deformation front. Considering the hydrogeological and stress regimes in conjunction with estimations of the gas content in coals, the region with probably good coalbed methane potential and producibility are the Ardley coal zone in the Scollard Formation and maybe, to a lesser extent, the coal zones of the stratigraphically deeper Edmonton and Belly River groups along their respective subcrop in central and southern Alberta. The deep Edmonton and Belly River strata in western and central Alberta have most likely a reduced coalbed methane potential as a result of lower gas content and of low permeability. These regional considerations need to be applied against local studies of coal thickness, rank, permeability, and gas content to identify the best targets for coalbed methane exploration and production.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it