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Record W2125975666

Weather Preceding Persistent Deep Slab Avalanches

2013· article· en· W2125975666 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Michael Conlan, Bruce Jamieson

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicLandslides and related hazards
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSnowpackSlabSnowPrecipitationGeologyAtmospheric sciencesMeteorologyWind directionClimatologyWind speedEnvironmental scienceGeophysicsGeomorphologyGeography
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT: Deep slab avalanches release on persistent weak layers of facets, surface hoar, depth hoar, or poorly bonded crusts and are generally hard to forecast. They are triggered either naturally from weather or are artificially triggered from localized dynamic loads such as skiers, snowmobilers, and explosives. For natural deep slab avalanches, weather preceding the release plays a key role in formation. For deep slab avalanches that are artificially triggered, preceding weather can also have a strong role. For this research, 51 deep slab avalanches were accessed in western Canada between 1993 and 2013 to obtain information on the persistent weak layer and overlying slab. Weather parameters such as precipitation amount, daily minimum and maximum temperature, and wind speed and direction were obtained from the nearest weather station for the two weeks prior to release of the accessed avalanches. Results indicate that the accessed natural deep slab avalanches typically occurred from either rapid mass loading via precipitation or wind transported snow or from snowpack warming by air temperature or incoming short wave radiation. Higher cumulative precipitation and wind loading potential amounts were observed for the avalanches that likely released from rapid mass loading. The natural releases that likely occurred from solar warming did not have high amounts of precipitation, wind loading, or warming and experienced clear skies during the day of release. The most amount of warming was observed for the avalanche that likely released from temperature warming. Similar weather trends for both natural and artificially triggered avalanches indicate the importance of analyzing the snowpack along with preceding weather.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.150
Threshold uncertainty score0.299

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.006
GPT teacher head0.184
Teacher spread0.178 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2013
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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