Constructing the dependency structure of a multiagent probabilistic network
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
A probabilistic network consists of a dependency structure and corresponding probability tables. The dependency structure is a graphical representation of the conditional independencies that are known to hold in the problem domain. We propose an automated process for constructing the combined dependency structure of a multiagent probabilistic network. Each domain expert supplies any known conditional independency information and not necessarily an explicit dependency structure. Our method determines a succinct representation of all the supplied independency information called a minimal cover. This process involves detecting all inconsistent information and removing all redundant information. A unique dependency structure of the multiagent probabilistic network can be constructed directly from this minimal cover. The main result is that the constructed dependency structure is a perfect-map of the minimal cover. That is, every probabilistic conditional independency logically implied by the minimal cover can be inferred from the dependency structure and every probabilistic conditional independency inferred from the dependency structure is logically implied by the minimal cover.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it