The Burden of Infant Meningococcal Disease in the United States
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In the United States, invasive meningococcal disease occurs at the highest rates in infants, with a second peak in adolescents. Early symptoms are nonspecific and may resemble viral infection, which poses a diagnostic challenge for clinicians. Moreover, the stakes of diagnostic confusion may be high because the disease may become life threatening within hours. Sequelae among survivors may be profound. In adolescent age groups, control of meningococcal disease caused by serogroups A, C, W-135, and Y rests upon universal vaccination beginning at 11–12 years of age; vaccines for serogroup B are not currently available. One 4-valent vaccine is licensed for use in infants beginning at 9 months of age but is only recommended for those at high risk. Licensure of new vaccines for infants is expected soon, and a universal immunization program is being debated. A wide range of bacteria can cause meningitis in infants and young children. In neonates aged <3 months, group B streptococcus causes most bacterial meningitis in many developed countries, followed by Escherichia coli and other Gram-negative enteric bacilli. Listeria monocytogenes can also be seen in this age group [1]. Historically, for infants and children aged <5 years, the 3 most common causes of bacterial meningitis and sepsis were Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib), Streptococcus pneumoniae, and Neisseria meningitidis [1]. Annual disease cases due to Hib in US children aged <5 years have been reduced by 99%, and there has been a substantial decline in pediatric invasive pneumococcal disease due to routine infant immunization programs introduced in the 1990s and 2000s [2, 3]. This leaves N. meningitidis as one of the most important causes of bacterial meningitis in infants and young children. Since 2005, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC's) Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) has recommended routine vaccination against N. meningitidis for all adolescents; recommendations for vaccination of children aged 9 months–10 years are restricted to high-risk groups [4–10]. At the present time, there are no meningococcal conjugate vaccines licensed for use in infants aged <9 months, although there are vaccines currently under review by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). This article discusses the burden of meningococcal disease in infants in order to provide a backdrop for considering prevention strategies. The incidence of invasive meningococcal disease in the United States is highest in infants [11]. From 1998 to 2007, the incidence of culture-confirmed meningococcal disease in those aged <1 year was 5.38 per 100 000 population—more than 10 times higher than the overall rate of 0.53 per 100 000 population and over 7 times higher than the rate in adolescents and young adults (approximately 0.75 per 100 000 population). The highest rates occurred in infants aged <8 months of age, ranging from 6.33 per 100 000 in infants aged 6–7 months to 7.08 in infants aged 2–3 months [11] (Figure 1). Age-stratified incidence of culture-confirmed meningococcal disease in the United States, 1998–2007 [11]. In the United States, between 1976 and 2009, the number of cases of meningococcal disease reported annually ranged from approximately 1000 to 3500. The incidence appears to increase and decrease in a cyclic fashion [12, 13] (Figure 2). The United States is currently experiencing a low number of cases, despite the fact that the overall incidence rate in infants is high. Between 1998 and 2007, the annual estimated number of culture-confirmed meningococcal cases was 1525; of these, 14% (n = 215) occurred in infants aged <1 year. This was similar to the total number of cases in adolescents aged 10–17 years (n = 173) and in older adolescents and young adults aged 18–24 years (n = 213) [11]. Since then, the total number of meningococcal cases reported to the CDC decreased from 1172 in 2008 to 833 in 2010 [12, 14]. Historical incidence of meningococcal disease in the United States, 1976–2009 [12, 13]. Credit: Courtesy of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The incidence of meningococcal disease in infants may be underreported because of a reliance on culture confirmation [15]. Detection of N. meningitidis in cultures from the cerebral spinal fluid, blood, or other sterile site is the typical method of confirming a meningococcal disease diagnosis. The sensitivity of this test is low, however, if performed after the patient has been given antibiotics [16]. In a study from Ireland investigating the utility of DNA detection with polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assays to diagnose meningococcal disease in children, blood cultures were positive in only 8 of 39 PCR-confirmed cases (21%), due in part to antibiotics being administered before the cultures were obtained [17]. If these results are any indication of the potential discrepancy between culture-confirmed and actual cases, the US incidence in infants and other age groups may be higher than current estimates. In fact, epidemiological surveys performed in countries in Europe and South America have found that a large proportion of cases would have been missed without the use of PCR testing [15]. The use of PCR in diagnosing bacterial meningitis was evaluated in 12 hospitals in São Paulo State, Brazil (February 2007–April 2009). The use of PCR increased the number of identified meningococcal disease cases by 92% compared with culture-confirmed cases alone (90 culture-positive cases; 83 culture-negative, PCR-positive cases) [18]. In the United Kingdom (2009), 1046 meningococcal cases were confirmed, of which 58% were confirmed by PCR alone (approximately 600 cases) [19]. Why are infants at increased risk of meningococcal disease? One factor is the catabolism of transplacentally acquired antibodies, which may be present in the mother because of prior colonization or cross-reactions from related bacteria [20–22]. The infant's immune system is also immature, conferring a physiological immunodeficiency that involves all aspects of the host response to infection [23]. More research is required in specific factors that increase the vulnerability of infants; however, some factors increase the risk of N. meningitidis infection in general, regardless of age. Individuals with immune system deficiencies, such as complement system deficiencies or functional or anatomical asplenia, are at higher risk for meningococcal infection [9]. Furthermore, genetic polymorphisms have been associated with susceptibility to meningococcal infection as well as severity and mortality of meningococcal disease [24, 25]. For example, polymorphisms in IL1RN and IL1B, genes involved in the cytokine pathway, are associated with mortality [24]. Mutations in the gene for mannose-binding lectin (MBL), a component of the innate immune system that activates complement and enhances phagocytosis and killing of bacteria [26], increase susceptibility to meningococcal disease. In an analysis of patients with meningococcal disease, the prevalence of MBL structural variants was more pronounced in patients aged <1 year (57.1%) compared with patients aged <2 years (39.3%) versus healthy controls (8.2%) [27]. Other factors that are generally associated with an increased risk of N. meningitidis infection include coming in close contact with a case, living in crowded conditions, and being exposed to cigarette smoke and respiratory tract infections that cause nasopharyngeal irritation [4]. In a study of 129 case patients and 274 age-matched controls in Oregon and Washington in 1994, children aged <5 years with meningococcal disease were shown to be approximately 8 times more likely to have a mother who smokes than matched controls [28]. The most important risk factor for infants may be exposure to adolescents, such as a sibling or possibly a babysitter. Adolescents are the primary population that carries N. meningitidis bacteria in the upper respiratory tract. Based on a meta-analysis of data from 89 studies in 28 countries, the peak prevalence of meningococcal carriage (23.7%) is at age 19 years [29]. Invasive meningococcal disease occurs only after exposure to a pathogenic strain of meningococcus that colonizes the nasopharyngeal mucosa. Although risk factors for meningococcal disease have been identified, most cases of meningococcal disease occur in otherwise healthy persons. Neisseria meningitidis is exquisitely susceptible to routinely used antibiotics. Despite this, and despite the availability of intensive supportive care, the overall case fatality rate (CFR) from invasive meningococcal disease in the United States is approximately 12% [11, 20]. Case fatality rates are generally higher in older age groups. In the United States, from 1998 to 2007, the CFR was 6% in infants aged <1 year, 9.7% in adolescents aged 14–17 years, and 13.6% in those aged 18–24 years. The estimated annual number of deaths in infants was 13 compared with 41 deaths among persons aged 14–24 years [11]. Diagnosing meningococcal disease can be challenging, and the window for doing so before the condition of the patient deteriorates is often narrow. Early diagnosis can be difficult because initial symptoms are nonspecific and resemble those of other common, mild infections, most of which are caused by viruses [30–32]. In infants, symptoms include fever, irritability, poor feeding, vomiting, and drowsiness. Signs of sepsis, such as abnormal skin color or cold extremities, may not appear until 5–9 hours later. The hallmark signs of meningitis—bulging fontanel and neck stiffness—may not appear until 8–15 hours into the course of illness, if at all [32]. Petechial or purpuric rash, often the symptom that prompts admission to the emergency room, may begin as a nonspecific rash and can appear later in the course of illness or may not appear at all. In a prospective study of all patients with meningococcal disease in the Netherlands from 2003 to 2005 (N = 752 total reported cases), petechial or purpuric rash was present at hospital admission in 74% of children aged 1–18 years but only in 48% of infants aged <1 year [30]. The consequences of a delay in hospital admission can be grave for anyone with meningococcal disease due to its rapid, aggressive, unpredictable, and potentially fatal course. The disease can progress from early symptoms to death in 24–48 hours [30, 32]. In the study in the Netherlands, the time from the onset of symptoms to death was known for 26 of the 48 patients who died (28 of the total deaths occurred in children aged <5 years). All but 3 individuals died either before or within 48 hours of hospital admission, and nearly 30% of the individuals who died were admitted to the hospital after being ill for >18 hours [30]. In the pediatric population, invasive meningococcal disease most commonly manifests as meningitis or bacteremia [11, 33]. These syndromes can occur separately but often present together [34]. In about 5%–20% of cases, meningococci multiply rapidly in the bloodstream, sending the patient into severe shock (fulminant meningococcal septicemia) and causing multiple organ failure [16, 34]. The rapid and massive intravascular inflammatory response to infection causes severe hypotension, circulatory collapse, and disseminated intravascular coagulation, with thrombotic lesions in the skin, hands and arms, feet and legs, kidneys, adrenal glands, and choroid plexus. Along with thrombosis, patients with fulminant meningococcal septicemia may develop gangrene in their extremities [34] (Figure 3). Meningococcal septicemia with gangrene of the hands and feet in a female infant aged 4 months [35]. Credit: Courtesy of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Nearly all individuals with meningococcal disease are hospitalized. From 1999 to 2008 in the United States, the median hospital stay for infants with meningococcal disease was 7 days (0–373 days) [36]. Approximately 11%–19% of patients who survive meningococcal disease suffer from significant sequelae, including amputations, deafness, learning/neurodevelopmental deficits, and organ failure (eg, failure of the renal, adrenal, pulmonary, and immune systems). Other sequelae include skin necrosis, seizures, ataxia, and hemiplegia [20, 37]. Although there are few specific data on long-term sequelae in infants, some studies that include infants, toddlers, and young children have shown significant residual disease burden. In one study from 10 US pediatric hospitals from January 2001 to March 2005, 159 cases of meningococcal disease in children were identified (41 cases in children aged <12 months; 22 cases in children aged 12–24 months; 39 cases in children aged 2– < 5 years; 57 cases in children aged 5–19 years). Among the 146 patients who survived, 14 children had skin necrosis (9 of whom were aged ≤4 years), 14 children suffered either unilateral or bilateral deafness, and 2 children underwent amputations, 1 of which was of all 4 extremities. Notably, hearing loss was more common in infants and toddlers aged ≤2 years (8 of 14 children) than in older children [33]. Sequelae such as musculoskeletal disorders, learning deficits, and renal failure may appear years or even decades after infection [38, 39]. Patients who survive meningococcal septicemia may develop progressive orthopedic conditions, most frequently growth plate injuries that result in growth reductions in limbs and asymmetric limb growth. In infants and toddlers, these problems may not emerge for ≥10 years after the initial infection, when the child goes through the rapid adolescent growth period [38–40]. A prospective, case-control study of infants aged <1 year (N = 1717) who had survived meningitis (including bacterial and viral infections) in Wales and England between 1985 and 1987 found that the long-term consequences of meningitis were significant at 5-year follow-up. Of infants who had survived meningococcal meningitis specifically (n = 402), the rates of moderate and severe disability were 7% and 3%, respectively. Moderate disabilities included mild neuromotor disabilities, intellectual impairment, moderate hearing loss, mild or moderate visual impairment, epilepsy controlled with treatment, and hydrocephalus without complications. Severe disabilities included severe neuromotor impairment, intellectual impairment, seizure disorders, and visual or auditory impairment [41]. A retrospective survey study in Quebec, Canada (1990–1994), examined 471 cases of meningococcal serogroup B and C disease to identify the frequency of complications and sequelae. Of the 471 cases, 98 occurred in infants aged <1 year and 89 occurred in toddlers aged 1–4 years. On average, sequelae among meningococcal disease survivors of all ages (n = 420) included scarring (8%), amputations (3%), sensorineural hearing loss (2%), and renal failure (1%). Among serogroup C cases occurring in infants aged <1 year (n = 26), approximately 11% were fatal, 6% had major complications, and 26% had minor complications. In comparison, among serogroup C cases in adolescents aged 11–19 years (n = 101), approximately 14% were fatal, 19% had major complications, and 30% had minor complications [42]. The lingering psychological and emotional effects on survivors and parents of children who have died may be less obvious than the physical sequelae but are also an important part of the burden of meningococcal disease. In a UK study of 29 children aged 2–16 years who had been treated for meningococcal disease at a hospital pediatric intensive care unit, posttraumatic stress disorder symptoms, which were correlated with the severity of the child's illness and behavioral problems at follow-up, occurred in 48% of the mothers of these children [43]. These findings are similar to findings from a study in Amsterdam, which demonstrated psychological distress in 192 mothers and fathers 3 months–7 years after their children (aged 1–18 years) had survived meningococcal disease. Between 31% and 69% of mothers and 29%–58% of fathers reported psychological distress, depending on the time of follow-up. These proportions were significantly higher than could be expected in the general population [44]. Most invasive meningococcal disease in the world is caused by serogroups A, B, C, W-135, and Y, although new serogroups can emerge (eg, serogroup X in sub-Saharan Africa) [45]. Protein-polysaccharide conjugate vaccines are only available for A, C, W-135, and Y, because humans do not produce antibodies to the B polysaccharide. Serogroup distribution varies widely between regions and countries. Most invasive meningococcal disease in the United States is caused by serogroups B, C, W-135, and Y [11]. In comparison, the greatest proportion of disease in Africa is caused by serogroups A, C, and W-135 (with a small proportion caused by serogroup X). In Finland, an increase in serogroup Y disease was observed from 1995 to 2010 [46]. In Europe as a whole, invasive meningococcal disease is mostly due to serogroups B and C, although the widespread use of monovalent vaccines targeting serogroup C has decreased the predominance of serogroup C in this region [15]. Meningococcal vaccines need to be multivalent because of the fluid and unpredictable nature of serogroup epidemiology. In the United States, for example, the proportion of disease attributable to serogroup Y increased from 2% in to in 2009, although is important to that at the time the incidence of disease decreased Serogroup distribution also by age For US infants aged <1 year, approximately of invasive meningococcal disease cases are caused by serogroup B, and the are caused by C, W-135, and Y (Figure In children and adolescents aged 10–17 years, of disease is caused by serogroups C, Y, and other (including and the is caused by serogroup Serogroup may from year to year in specific age for example, in the incidence of serogroups C, W-135, and Y disease in infants serogroup B disease, the was more common in all years. For persons aged 11–19 years, the incidence of invasive meningococcal disease caused by serogroups C, W-135, and Y, has that caused by serogroup B [11]. of serogroup B versus other serogroups in culture-confirmed meningococcal disease in the United States, 1998–2007 [11]. Neisseria meningitidis serogroup is also by the genetic and of the of genes can result in that are related but which have serogroups (eg, from B to the new strain to immune targeting the this can to disease population also the potential for of serogroups from one region of the world to Individuals do not need to to be at risk of disease from serogroups that are not in their as is by the case of an infant with serogroup W-135 meningococcal disease months after 2 living had from the to in routine vaccination at age 12 months against serogroup C disease In 4 young children (aged and were with serogroup W-135 disease after their had from All 4 children had been with a meningococcal serogroup C vaccine meningococcal conjugate vaccines are licensed for use in the United States, and of which from serogroups A, C, W-135, and Y to a A vaccine is also licensed for use in persons aged years, but use of conjugate vaccines is In the case of the conjugate is in the case of is a that is also used in and are licensed for use as a in persons aged years indication for a in high-risk children aged years). recommendations that to either include universal vaccination of adolescents at age 11–12 years, routine at age years, a primary for persons who may not well to and of high-risk persons In of after of the to include infants and toddlers aged months, the recommended use of for children in this age group with complement those to or living in countries invasive meningococcal disease is or and those in risk groups or or was not included because of about potential with and the fact that pneumococcal disease is a for these is not for use in infants aged <9 data that infants administered 3 of age and had to meningococcal vaccine serogroup compared with older children given 2 at age 9 and 12 months The is currently for that could use to infants aged as young as 2 months Licensure of a of meningococcal serogroups C and Y and Hib to is also being serogroup B at 1 of which was developed through are the The about or not to meningococcal vaccines routinely in infants be a difficult The vaccines to which not include serogroup B, be of only about of These vaccines need to provide early after the second in order to the of infant on this be occurring at a time when the overall incidence of invasive meningococcal disease in the United States is at its in decades and the number of cases and deaths be All of this the per life year of a universal On the other the incidence in infants that in adolescents, an age group for which there is a universal immunization has a the and pneumoniae, in this been The over infant meningococcal vaccination a new time to in a universal program to a disease in was by of which from and of from and and for and on is a in studies by and and has from these for and on All the for of of that the to the of the have been
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".