Marginal methods for correlated binary data with misclassified responses
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Misclassification is a longstanding concern in medical research. Although there has been much research concerning error-prone covariates, relatively little work has been directed to problems with response variables subject to error. In this paper we focus on misclassification in clustered or longitudinal outcomes. We propose marginal analysis methods to handle binary responses which are subject to misclassification. The proposed methods have several appealing features, including simultaneous inference for both marginal mean and association parameters, and they can handle misclassified responses for a number of practical scenarios, such as the case with a validation subsample or replicates. Furthermore, the proposed methods are robust to model misspecification in a sense that no full distributional assumptions are required. Numerical studies demonstrate satisfactory performance of the proposed methods under a variety of settings.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it