Outlier detection on uncertain data: Objects, instances, and inferences
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper studies the problem of outlier detection on uncertain data. We start with a comprehensive model considering both uncertain objects and their instances. An uncertain object has some inherent attributes and consists of a set of instances which are modeled by a probability density distribution. We detect outliers at both the instance level and the object level. To detect outlier instances, it is a prerequisite to know normal instances. By assuming that uncertain objects with similar properties tend to have similar instances, we learn the normal instances for each uncertain object using the instances of objects with similar properties. Consequently, outlier instances can be detected by comparing against normal ones. Furthermore, we can detect outlier objects most of whose instances are outliers. Technically, we use a Bayesian inference algorithm to solve the problem, and develop an approximation algorithm and a filtering algorithm to speed up the computation. An extensive empirical study on both real data and synthetic data verifies the effectiveness and efficiency of our algorithms.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.009 | 0.061 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.005 | 0.006 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.008 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".