Penetrance of NOD2/CARD15 genetic variants in the general population
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In case-control studies of Europeans, heterozygosity for Arg702Trp(rs2066844), Gly908Arg(rs2066845) and Leu1007fsinsC(rs5743293) on the NOD2/CARD15 gene is associated with a 2-fold greater risk of Crohn disease, whereas homozygosity or compound heterozygosity is associated with a 17-fold greater risk. However, the importance of these genetic variants if identified in particular individuals within the general population is unknown. We undertook this study to estimate the penetrance of these variants in the general population. METHODS: We genotyped 43,596 individuals from the Danish general population followed between January 1976 and July 2007. Using a logistic regression model, we estimated the risk of Crohn disease in relation to variants of the NOD2/CARD15 gene in the general population. Penetrance was calculated as the fraction of participants in whom Crohn disease was diagnosed before age 50 years. RESULTS: In the general population, 89% of participants were noncarriers of the genetic variants of interest (n = 38,594), 11% were heterozygotes (n = 4838), and 0.4% were compound heterozygotes or homozygotes (n = 164). For Crohn disease, multifactorially adjusted odds ratios were 1.2 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.8-1.9) for heterozygotes and 3.3 (95% CI 0.8-13.6) for compound heterozygotes and homozygotes combined, relative to noncarriers. Only 2 compound heterozygotes received a diagnosis of Crohn disease, and this disease was not diagnosed in any of the homozygotes. The penetrance at age 50 years of NOD2/CARD15 genetic variants of Crohn disease was 0.30% (95% CI 0.29%-0.31%) for heterozygotes and 1.5% (95% CI 1.4%-1.6%) for compound heterozygotes and homozygotes. INTERPRETATION: The penetrance of NOD2/CARD15 genetic variants in relation to risk of Crohn disease for this Danish population was lower than might have been expected from previous European case-control studies. This should be considered when advising healthy individuals in whom these genetic variants are identified.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".