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Record W2135946431 · doi:10.1177/002795010300100108

The UK Economy

2003· article· en· W2135946431 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Rebecca Riley

Bibliographic record

VenueNational Institute Economic Review · 2003
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicSocial Issues and Policies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsQuarter (Canadian coin)EconomicsReal gross domestic productAgricultural economicsGeographyEconometrics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

GDP growth picked up in the second quarter and has remained close to trend over the course of the summer after an initial dip in the first quarter of the year. Preliminary estimates of GDP suggest the economy expanded by 0.6 per cent in the third quarter of 2003. The recovery of growth from the relative weakness observed throughout most of 2001 and 2002 has arrived somewhat earlier than we thought at the time of our July forecast. GDP growth was revised upwards from 0.1 and 0.3 per cent per quarter in the first two quarters of the year to 0.2 and 0.6 per cent per quarter. Chart 1 shows our forecast of quarterly GDP growth to the end of 2004. We expect growth to remain close to trend over this period. For this year as a whole our central projection shows the economy expanding by 2.0 per cent this year and by 2.6 and 2.7 per cent per annum in 2004 and 2005.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.110
Threshold uncertainty score0.369

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.003
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0040.003
Open science0.0000.002
Research integrity0.0020.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.1100.056

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.070
GPT teacher head0.392
Teacher spread0.322 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2003
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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