Rotational stability of dynamic planets with elastic lithospheres
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
We revisit the classic problem of the secular rotational stability of planets in response to loading using the fluid limit of viscoelastic Love number theory. Gold (1955) and Goldreich and Toomre (1969) considered the stability of a hydrostatic planet subject to an uncompensated surface mass load and concluded that a mass of any size would drive true polar wander (TPW) that ultimately reorients the load to the equator. Willemann (1984) treated the more self‐consistent problem where the presence of a lithosphere leads to both imperfect load compensation and a remnant rotational bulge. Willemann considered axisymmetric loads and concluded that the equilibrium pole location was governed by a balance, independent of elastic lithospheric thickness, between the load‐induced TPW and stabilization by the remnant bulge. Our new analysis demonstrates that the equilibrium pole position is a function of the lithospheric strength, with a convergence to Willemann's results evident at high values of elastic thickness (>400 km for an application to Mars), and significantly larger predicted TPW for planets with thin lithospheres. Furthermore, we demonstrate that nonaxisymmetric surface mass loads and internal (convective) heterogeneity, even when these are small relative to axisymmetric contributions, can profoundly influence the rotational stability. Indeed, we derive the relatively permissive conditions under which nonaxisymmetric forcing initiates an inertial interchange TPW event (i.e., a 90° pole shift). Finally, Willemann's analysis is often cited to argue for a small (<18°) TPW of Mars driven by the development of a Tharsis‐sized load. We show that even in the absence of the destabilizing effects of load asymmetry, the equations governing rotational stability permit higher excursions of the Martian rotation vector than has previously been appreciated.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it