Effects of measurement error on Monte Carlo integration estimators of tree volume: critical height sampling and vertical Monte Carlo methods
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The effects of measurement error on Monte Carlo (MC) integration estimators of individual-tree volume that sample upper-stem heights at randomly selected cross-sectional areas (termed vertical methods) were studied. These methods included critical height sampling (on an individual-tree basis), vertical importance sampling (VIS), and vertical control variate sampling (VCS). These estimators were unbiased in the presence of two error models: additive measurement error with mean zero and multiplicative measurement error with mean one. Exact mathematical expressions were derived for the variances of VIS and VCS that include additive components for sampling error and measurement error, which together comprise total variance. Previous studies of sampling error for MC integration estimators of tree volume were combined with estimates of upper-stem measurement error obtained from the mensurational literature to compute typical estimates of total standard errors for VIS and VCS. Through examples, it is shown that measurement error can substantially increase the total root mean square error of the volume estimate, especially for small trees.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.023 | 0.174 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".