Bibliographic record
Abstract
A Markov Decision Process (MDP) is a model employed to describe problems in which a decision must be made at each one of several stages, while receiving feedback from the environment. This type of model has been extensively studied in the operations research community and fundamental algorithms have been developed to solve associated problems. However, these algorithms are quite inefficient for very large problems, leading to a need for alternatives; since MDP problems are provably hard on compressed representations, one becomes content even with algorithms which may perform well at least on specific classes of problems. The class of problems we deal with in this thesis allows succinct representations for the MDP as a dynamic Bayes network, and for its solution as a weighted combination of basis functions. We develop novel algorithms for producing, improving, and calculating the error of approximate solutions for MDPs using a compressed representation. Specifically, we develop an efficient branch-and-bound algorithm for computing the Bellman error of the compact approximate solution regardless of its provenance. We introduce an efficient direct linear programming algorithm which, using incremental constraints generation, achieves run times significantly smaller than existing approximate algorithms without much loss of accuracy. We also show a novel direct linear programming algorithm which, instead of employing constraints generation, transforms the exponentially many constraints into a compact form more amenable for tractable solutions. In spite of its perceived importance, the efficient optimization of the Bellman error towards an approximate MDP solution has eluded current algorithms; to this end we propose a novel branch-and-bound approximate policy iteration algorithm which makes direct use of our branch-and-bound method for computing the Bellman error. We further investigate another procedure for obtaining an approximate solution based on the dual of the direct, approximate linear programming formulation for solving MDPs. To address both the loss of accuracy resulting from the direct, approximate linear program solution and the question of where basis functions come from we also develop a principled system able not only to produce the initial set of basis functions, but also able to augment it with new basis functions automatically generated such that the approximation error decreases according to the user's requirements and time limitations.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.023 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.005 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.008 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".