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Maximum entropy, logistic regression, and species abundance

2010· article· en· W2143083519 on OpenAlexafffund
Fangliang He

Bibliographic record

VenueOikos · 2010
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicSpecies Distribution and Climate Change
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Alberta
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
KeywordsPrinciple of maximum entropyStatistical physicsEntropy (arrow of time)Rotation formalisms in three dimensionsLogistic regressionRelative abundance distributionMaximum entropy thermodynamicsEcologyMathematicsStatisticsAbundance (ecology)PhysicsRelative species abundanceBiologyJoint quantum entropyThermodynamics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

There is considerable debate about the utility of statistical mechanics in predicting diversity patterns in terms of life history traits. Here, I reflect on this debate and show that a community is controlled by the balance of two opposite forces: the entropic part (the natural tendency of the system to be in the configuration with the highest possible entropy) and environmental, ecological and evolutionary constraints maintaining order (reducing entropy). The Boltzmann distribution law that can be derived from the maximum entropy formalism provides a fundamental model for linking species abundance to life history traits and environmental constraining factors. This model predicts a global pattern of diversity evenness along a latitudinal gradient. Although the Boltzmann distribution and the logistic regression models represent two fundamentally different approaches, the two models have an identical mathematical form. Their identical formalisms facilitate the interpretation of logistic regression models with statistical mechanics, and reveal several limitations of the maximum entropy formalism. I argued that although maximum entropy formalism is a promising tool for modeling species abundances and for linking microscopic quantities of individual life history traits to macroscopic patterns of diversity, it is necessary to revise the Boltzmann distribution law for successful prediction of species abundance.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.436
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.1560.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.027
GPT teacher head0.254
Teacher spread0.227 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations33
Published2010
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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