Areal changes of land ecosystems in the Alaskan Yukon River Basin from 1984 to 2008
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Multivariate alteration detection (MAD) and Bayesian inference (BI) methods are used to analyze land cover changes with Landsat images for the Alaskan Yukon River Basin from 1984 to 2008. The US Geological Survey National Land Cover Database 2001 (NLCD 2001) is treated as reference information to detect the changes. It is found that the regional land cover change has three general trends with various potential causes during the study period: (1) forests decreased mainly due to wildfire, (2) the closed water bodies were shrinking possibly due to permafrost degradation if water drains well in discontinuous permafrost regions, (3) shrubs had expanded and a large portion of grassland was converted into shrubland likely due to forest fire and warming. The uncertainty of this analysis may mainly arise from image acquisition date differences and illumination angles and remaining cloud contamination to the images. This study provides a method to analyze land cover changes with Landsat data for other regions. The developed land cover data should help future understanding of permafrost dynamics, biogeochemistry, hydrology and regional climate in the region.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".