Cubature Kalman Filtering for Continuous-Discrete Systems: Theory and Simulations
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this paper, we extend the cubature Kalman filter (CKF) to deal with nonlinear state-space models of the continuous-discrete kind. To be consistent with the literature, the resulting nonlinear filter is referred to as the continuous-discrete cubature Kalman filter (CD-CKF). We use the Itô-Taylor expansion of order 1.5 to transform the process equation, modeled in the form of stochastic ordinary differential equations, into a set of stochastic difference equations. Building on this transformation and assuming that all conditional densities are Gaussian-distributed, the solution to the Bayesian filter reduces to the problem of how to compute Gaussian-weighted integrals. To numerically compute the integrals, we use the third-degree cubature rule. For a reliable implementation of the CD-CKF in a finite word-length machine, it is structurally modified to propagate the square-roots of the covariance matrices. The reliability and accuracy of the square-root version of the CD-CKF are tested in a case study that involves the use of a radar problem of practical significance; the problem considered herein is challenging in the context of radar in two respects- high dimensionality of the state and increasing degree of nonlinearity. The results, presented herein, indicate that the CD-CKF markedly outperforms existing continuous-discrete filters.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it