Local Whittle estimation in nonstationary and unit root cases
Why is this work in the frame?
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Full frame distilled prediction
Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
- Candidate categories
- none
- Consensus categories
- none
- Domain
- Candidate signal: noneConsensus signal: none
- Study design
- Candidate signal: Theoretical or conceptualConsensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
- Genre
- Candidate signal: EmpiricalConsensus signal: Empirical
- Teacher disagreement score
- 0.268
- Threshold uncertainty score
- 0.306
- Validation status
machine_predicted_unvalidated·codex-gemma-dda1882f352a
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
- Teacher spread
- 0.124 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
- Validation status
score_only:v0-immature-baseline· verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it
Abstract
Asymptotic properties of the local Whittle estimator in the nonstationary case (d>½) are explored. For ½<d≤1, the estimator is shown to be consistent, and its limit distribution and the rate of convergence depend on the value of d. For d=1, the limit distribution is mixed normal. For d>1 and when the process has a polynomial trend of order α>½, the estimator is shown to be inconsistent and to converge in probability to unity.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
The record
- Venue
- The Annals of Statistics
- Topic
- Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
- Field
- Economics, Econometrics and Finance
- Canadian institutions
- Queen's University
- Funders
- Alfred P. Sloan FoundationNational Science Foundation
- Keywords
- MathematicsEstimatorUnit rootRate of convergenceApplied mathematicsAsymptotic distributionLimit (mathematics)Distribution (mathematics)PolynomialStatisticsMathematical analysis
- Has abstract in OpenAlex
- yes