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Record W2153067056

Going Behind the Statistics on Poverty in Trinidad and Tobago

2012· article· en· W2153067056 on OpenAlex
Ralph Henry

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

venuePublished in a venue whose home country is Canada.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueCaribbean dialogue · 2012
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicCaribbean history, culture, and politics
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPovertyPurchasing powerSpeculationPoliticsEconomicsDevelopment economicsWork (physics)Political scienceEconomic growthMacroeconomicsEngineering
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Beyond academic circles, there has been an expanding interest in Trinidad and Tobago, on the level of poverty in the country. Newspaper columnists and many others have joined a debate that is, unfortunately, largely based on speculation. Poverty and its measurement have always been contentious issues, more so when political contestation is imported into the debate. There has been a recent report attributed to the UNDP, which suggests a rather high level of poverty for the country, based on the use of purchasing power parities - PPP. It is not clear to this author how the PPP was generated, nor by whom. Moreover, PPPs have a limited utility and although there has been substantial work done on improving it as a tool for cross-country comparisons, there still remain difficulties that suggest that care needs to be exercised in deriving too much from it. This short paper will look at some of the data that are available and will rely on one recent study that can claim to be anchored on firm statistics and methodology in casting some light on the matter. A working hypothesis is that whatever the estimate of poverty, it is the dynamics of poverty identified in data beyond the estimate, that provide better insights into the development issues faced in attacking poverty.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.781
Threshold uncertainty score0.831

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.028
GPT teacher head0.291
Teacher spread0.263 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it