Fiendishly Difficult Questions: Possible Limits and Aesthetic Pleasures of Simulation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Simulations facilitate the construction of increasingly complex theories, which, in turn, suffer three attendant curses. By definition, complex theories have many variables, decreasing the chances that all of them will be clear and measurable. This makes complex theories difficult to test, decreasing the chances they will be adequately tested, and difficult to understand, and decreasing the chances of attracting or sustaining an audience. However, constructing simulations that embody complex theories provides an opportunity for new perspectives and insights, and an occasion to renew respect for the complexities of the phenomena that they simulate. These are aesthetic benefits concordant with the definition of science as art with numbers.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.009 | 0.031 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.006 | 0.053 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.015 | 0.018 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.009 |
| Research integrity | 0.004 | 0.007 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.015 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".