Fuzzy Logic Estimation Applied to Newton Methods for Gas Turbines
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract This method, based on fuzzy logic principles, is intended to find the most likely solution of an over-determined system, in specific conditions. The method addresses typical problems encountered in gas turbine performance analysis and, more specifically, to the alignment of a synthesis model with measured data. Generally speaking, the relatively low accuracy of measurements introduces a random noise around the true value of a performance parameter and distorts any deterministic solution of a square matrix-based linear system. The fuzzy logic estimator is able to get very close to the real solution by using additional (pseudo-redundant) parameters and by building the most likely solution based on each of the measurement accuracies. The accuracy—or “quality”—of a measurement is encapsulated within an extra dimension which is defined as fuzzy and which encompasses the whole range of values, between 0 (false) and 1 (true). The value of the method is shown in two examples. The first simulates compressor fouling, the other deals with actual engine test data following a hardware modification. Both examples experience noisy measurements. The method is stable and effective even at high level of noise. The results are within the close vicinity of the expected levels (within 0.2% accuracy) and the accuracy is about ten times lower than the noise level.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it