One-Year Deferral Method for Estimating Avoided Transmission and Distribution Costs
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper presents a new method for estimating avoided transmission and distribution costs associated with small load reductions, named the one-year deferral method. It is established on the basis of the system planner's actual response to a small reduction in the forecast annual peak load. This paper has also explored the noninteger deferral time (i.e., a fraction of a year) in the present worth method, which is seemingly inconsistent with the system planning practice. In addition, as allowed by the new method, the effect of the size and type (shape) of a load reduction stream (i.e., a series of reductions in the forecast annual peak loads) on avoided costs is studied, which is important for determining generic avoided cost values intended for various applications.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it