LMS Algorithms for Tracking Slow Markov Chains With Applications to Hidden Markov Estimation and Adaptive Multiuser Detection
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper analyzes the tracking properties of the least mean squares (LMS) algorithm when the underlying parameter evolves according to a finite-state Markov chain with infrequent jumps. First, using perturbed Liapunov function methods, mean-square error estimates are obtained for the tracking error. Then using recent results on two-time-scale Markov chains, mean ordinary differential equation and diffusion approximation results are obtained. It is shown that a sequence of the centered tracking errors converges to an ordinary differential equation. Moreover, a suitably scaled sequence of the tracking errors converges weakly to a diffusion process. It is also shown that iterate averaging of the tracking algorithm results in optimal asymptotic convergence rate in an appropriate sense. Two application examples, analysis of the performance of an adaptive multiuser detection algorithm in a direct-sequence code-division multiple-access (DS/CDMA) system, and tracking analysis of the state of a hidden Markov model (HMM) with infrequent jumps, are presented.
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Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it