Constrained rationality: Formal goals-reasoning approach to strategic decision & conflict analysis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper proposes Constrained Rationality, a formal qualitative goals and constraints reasoning framework for single and multi agents to analyze and rationalize about strategic decisions/conflicts. The framework suggests bringing back the strategic decision making problem to its roots: reasoning about options/alternatives, not to satisfy a set of preferences, but rather to satisfy the explicitly stated strategic and conflicting goals an agent has, given the internal and external complex and conflicting realities/constraints the agent has. The paper analyzes the relations among goals and constraints, how value property labels for goals (such as their achievement or prevention levels) propagates through these relations, and proposes a set of propagation rules and an algorithm to calculate the final value labels for goals at any point of time. The paper also presents some preliminary experimental results on using the algorithm to reason about a business strategic decision making scenario.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.008 | 0.017 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.007 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.005 | 0.008 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".