A 2-Approximation Algorithm for Stochastic Inventory Control Models with Lost Sales
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this paper, we describe the first computationally efficient policies for stochastic inventory models with lost sales and replenishment lead times that admit worst-case performance guarantees. In particular, we introduce dual-balancing policies for lost-sales models that are conceptually similar to dual-balancing policies recently introduced for a broad class of inventory models in which demand is backlogged rather than lost. That is, in each period, we balance two opposing costs: the expected marginal holding costs against the expected marginal lost-sales cost. Specifically, we show that the dual-balancing policies for the lost-sales models provide a worst-case performance guarantee of two under relatively general demand structures. In particular, the guarantee holds for independent (not necessarily identically distributed) demands and for models with correlated demands such as the AR(1) model and the multiplicative autoregressive demand model. The policies and the worst-case guarantee extend to models with capacity constraints on the size of the order and stochastic lead times. Our analysis has several novel elements beyond the balancing ideas for backorder models.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
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Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it