Association between vascular access type and patient mortality among elderly patients on hemodialysis in <scp>C</scp>anada
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Optimal vascular access in elderly patients requires consideration of the benefits and risks in a population with increased comorbidity and mortality. Our objective was to examine the association between vascular access type and patient mortality by age category among incident adult hemodialysis patients registered in the Canadian Organ Replacement Register between 2001 and 2010. We also describe the secular trend in incident and prevalent vascular access use. We used a Cox proportional hazards model to evaluate the overall mortality in patients aged less than 65, 65-74, 75-85, and greater than 85 years who initiated hemodialysis using a central venous catheter (catheter) or arteriovenous (AV)-access (fistula or graft) using an intention-to-treat approach. The cohort of 39,721 patients consisted of 42%, 27%, 26%, and 5% of patients aged <65, 65-74, 75-85, and >85, respectively. Patients who initiated hemodialysis using an AV-access constituted 21%, 22%, 20%, and 15% of each age category. AV access use was associated with lower adjusted mortality compared with catheter use in each age category (Hazard Ratios [HR], 0.67; 95% Confidence Interval [0.62-0.72]; HR, 0.76 [0.63-0.91]; HR, 0.77 [0.64-0.93], HR, 0.73 [0.56-0.96], respectively). In Canada, use of an AV-access is associated with lower mortality across all age categories, even in the very elderly. Further studies are required to understand the patient preference, complications, and resource use when selecting access type in the elderly.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".