A new class of biophysical models for predicting the probability of decompression sickness in scuba diving
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Interconnected compartmental models have been used for decades in physiology and medicine to account for the observed multi-exponential washout kinetics of a variety of solutes (including inert gases) both from single tissues and from the body as a whole. They are used here as the basis for a new class of biophysical probabilistic decompression models. These models are characterized by a relatively well-perfused, risk-bearing, central compartment and one or two non-risk-bearing, relatively poorly perfused, peripheral compartment(s). The peripheral compartments affect risk indirectly by diffusive exchange of dissolved inert gas with the central compartment. On the basis of the accuracy of their respective predictions beyond the calibration regime, the three-compartment interconnected models were found to be significantly better than the two-compartment interconnected models. The former, on the basis of a number of criteria, was also better than a two-compartment parallel model used for comparative purposes. In these latter comparisons, the models all had the same number of fitted parameters (four), were based on linear kinetics, had the same risk function, and were calibrated against the same dataset. The interconnected models predict that inert gas washout during decompression is relatively fast, initially, but slows rapidly with time compared with the more uniform washout rate predicted by an independent parallel compartment model. If empirically verified, this may have important implications for diving practice.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".