Contrasted Growth of Black Spruce (<i>Picea mariana</i>) Forest Trees at Treeline Associated with Climate Change over the Last 400 Years
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Several environmental indicators show that climate changed dramatically at the turn of the 19th century, with global warming throughout the 20th century. Among the most used proxies to evaluate long-term changes in climate are trees located at their northern range limit. Several studies have shown enhanced tree regeneration at treeline caused by recent warming, but no data are available on height growth performance of forest trees at treeline before and during the 20th century warmth. In this study, we examined the long-term growth performance of black spruce (Picea mariana [Mill.] B.S.P.) trees located in a lichen-spruce woodland, near the arctic treeline in eastern Canada. The study woodland is an old-growth stand that has escaped fire approximately during the past two millennia. We performed stem analysis on normally developed trees which grew in the woodland over the last centuries. The sampled trees are ramets from long-lived, self-regenerating black spruce clones that are forming small tree islands within the woodland. The co-occurrence of living and dead tree stems inside clones gives the opportunity to evaluate the growth performance of the same genets through time. Height and radial growth of 60 tree stems from 15 old-growth clones were evaluated for a period spanning the last 400 yr. Sampling included the two tallest living stems and the two tallest dead stems of randomly selected clones. No differences in height and radial growth were found among the 30 living stems nor among the 30 dead stems within clones. Living stems were 2 m taller and radial growth was 1.6 times greater than dead stems. Vertical development of stems was divided into two parts according to position of snow cover. Growth of dead and living stems was similar below the snowpack line. However, significant differences were found for growth above snowpack for the two types of stems. Growth above snow cover for all dead stems occurred between the 17th and 19th centuries. In contrast, growth of living stems above snow cover started during the late 19th century. Our data indicate that stems of the same genotype responded directly to climate change, in conjunction with climatic conditions prevailing at the time when they were protruding above the snowpack. Compared to extant trees, significantly smaller trees grew in the woodland during the Little Ice Age. Potential causal factors of differential growth performance through time are discussed.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".