MétaCan
Menu
← Back to cohort
Record W2183395240

Short and Long Range Population Dynamics of the Monarch Buttery ( Danaus plexippus)

2011· article· en· W2183395240 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Komi Messan, Kyle Smith, Shawn Tsosie, Shuchen Zhu, Sergeĭ K. Suslov

Bibliographic record

VenuearXiv (Cornell University) · 2011
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldAgricultural and Biological Sciences
TopicAnimal Behavior and Reproduction
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsDanausPopulationMonarch butterflyOverwinteringGeographyEcologyDemographyBiologyLarvaSociology
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The monarch buttery annually migrates from central Mexico to southern Canada. During recent decades, its population has been reduced due to human interaction with their habitat. We examine the eect of herbicide usage on the monarch buttery's population by creating a system of linear and non-linear ordinary dierential equations that describe the interaction between the monarch's population and its environment at various stages of migration: spring migration, summer loitering, and fall migration. The model has various stages that are used to describe the dynamics of the monarch buttery population over multiple generations. In Stage 1, we propose a system of coupled ordinary dierential equations that model the populations of the monarch butteries and larvae during spring migration. In Stage 2, we propose a predator-prey model with age structure to model the population dynamics at the summer breeding site. In Stages 3 and 4, we propose exponential decay functions to model the monarch buttery's fall migration to central Mexico and their time at the overwintering site. The model is used to analyze the long-term behavior of the monarch butteries through numerical analysis, given data available in the research literature.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.100
Threshold uncertainty score0.200

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.097
GPT teacher head0.170
Teacher spread0.073 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2011
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venuearXiv (Cornell University)→Same topicAnimal Behavior and Reproduction→French-language works237,207→