Évolution de la population au Québec et au Canada depuis un siècle et demi en l’absence de migrations
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Les projections de population sans migration établies avec les séries de taux de mortalité et de fécondité estimés ou observés depuis 1851 permettent d'établir un bilan à long terme des migrations au Québec et au Canada, en comparant les effectifs aux recensements et les résultats des projections. Sans migration depuis 1851, le Québec compterait 12 millions d'habitants en 1991 au lieu de 7 millions. Quant au Canada, la projection sans migration depuis 1871 donne 26 millions (sans Terre-Neuve), soit un million de moins que la population recensée. Si le Canada avait gardé ses enfants, il aurait pu se passer des 12 millions d'immigrants qu'il a reçus, et la population québécoise et française serait beaucoup plus importante.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it