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Record W2205340053 · doi:10.1155/2006/738957

Planning for the Pandemic

2006· article· en· W2205340053 on OpenAlexaffabout
Joanne Embreé

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology · 2006
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldHealth Professions
TopicDisaster Response and Management
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Manitoba
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPandemicInfluenza A virus subtype H5N1Influenza pandemicWork (physics)Transmission (telecommunications)MedicineMortality rateEpidemiologyMedical emergencyCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Intensive care medicineVirologyDiseaseInfectious disease (medical specialty)Computer sciencePathologyVirus

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Over the past year, many of us have become involved in the development of strategic plans for the hospitals, health authorities and clinical practices in which we work in case an influenza pandemic occurs in the very near future. Planning for this on the front lines is difficult, due in large part to the uncertainties involved. How will the pandemic evolve? Is the current H5N1 strain of bird flu going to be ′the′ one? How closely will the pandemic resemble that of 1918? Will it have the same transmission characteristics as the yearly endemic influenza strains or will it be so different that our routine infection prevention precautions for influenza will be ineffective? Will there be a useful vaccine that is widely available and safe? That the current death rate associated with H5N1 strain infections in humans is approximately 60% is quite frightening; an influenza pandemic with such a high death rate is almost incomprehensible. Therefore, it is a relief to hear that the upper estimates are at a much lower rate of approximately 5% in most suggested epidemiological models. Will the use of oseltamivir really work to prevent infection, illness, morbidity or death? If so, will there be sufficient supplies available in Canada? How are we supposed to make plans so that our medical system, which is already quite stressed, will be functional under the extreme conditions that are anticipated? One major difficulty is that we do not actually know how soon, if at all, the pandemic will occur. Specific, highly detailed plans made today may not be applicable in the future. As a result, most contingency plans are being made for a generic situation based on the general assumption that some percentage of the workforce will be absent from work for some specified period of time. In general, the plans tend to be impersonal because they concentrate on essential functions that need to be undertaken in an institution and assume that, with training, all personnel can cross‐cover these services to accommodate for those times when the employees who routinely perform those tasks are absent.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.604
Threshold uncertainty score0.904

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.021
GPT teacher head0.345
Teacher spread0.323 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2006
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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