Geodynamic Modeling of Sedimentation-induced Overpressure, Gravitational Spreading, and Deformation of Passive Margin Mobile Shale Basins
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract We investigate the differential loading and pore-fluid pressure required for failure and subsequent prolonged gravitational spreading of passive margin shale basins using two-dimensional analytical limit analysis and plane-strain finite element modeling. The limit analysis, supported by the models, indicates that narrow margins (slope regions that are approximately 50 to 100 km [31 to 62 mi] wide) require pore-fluid pressures that are 80-94% of the overburden weight for failure to occur, whereas for wider margins (~400 km [~250 mi] wide) like the Niger Delta, the corresponding values are 95-99%; these ranges depend on the intrinsic strength of sediments. In the large deformation models, gravitational spreading in response to sedimentation-induced overpressure caused by delta progradation is investigated. Shale is modeled as a visco-plastic Bingham fluid that is frictional-plastic below yield and has a yield criterion that depends on the effective pressure (mean stress minus pore-fluid pressure). The velocity of the postyield flow of the shale is limited by the viscosity of the Bingham fluid, chosen for this study to be 10 18Pas. Pore-fluid pressure is predicted parametrically to be proportional to the local sedimentation rate during progradation, where the proportionality constant, k c,depends inversely on the hydraulic conductivity. Varying the sediment progradation rate, the depth of onset of excess pore pressure, and k cproduces model deformation patterns consistent with seaward-directed squeeze-type flow of overpressured shale (Poiseuille flow) or wholesale sea-TOC ward motion of the shale and overburden (Couette flow), depending on the overall mobility of the model.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".