Developments in the Irish labour market during the crisis: What lessons for policy?
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper provides a comprehensive description of the evolution of the Irish labour market over the past fifteen years, with a particular emphasis on the crisis-related adjustment and its consequences. The sectoral aspect of employment developments and in particular the role of the construction sector is a common theme of this paper. With the unemployment rate tripling between 2008 and 2011, there have been clear implications for labour supply, as evidenced by the falloff in participation and the reversion to net outward migration. Micro data is used to calculate flows between labour market states, thereby providing insight into labour market dynamics. The issue of mismatch between labour demand and supply is highlighted as a key post-crisis challenge. A number of policy messages emerge from this analysis including the importance of a recovery in domestic demand for alleviating the unemployment problem.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.006 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.003 | 0.005 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.014 | 0.011 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.006 |
| Research integrity | 0.009 | 0.008 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.021 | 0.004 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".