Developments in the Irish labour market during the crisis: What lessons for policy?
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper provides a comprehensive description of the evolution of the Irish labour market over the past fifteen years, with a particular emphasis on the crisis-related adjustment and its consequences. The sectoral aspect of employment developments and in particular the role of the construction sector is a common theme of this paper. With the unemployment rate tripling between 2008 and 2011, there have been clear implications for labour supply, as evidenced by the falloff in participation and the reversion to net outward migration. Micro data is used to calculate flows between labour market states, thereby providing insight into labour market dynamics. The issue of mismatch between labour demand and supply is highlighted as a key post-crisis challenge. A number of policy messages emerge from this analysis including the importance of a recovery in domestic demand for alleviating the unemployment problem.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it