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Record W2248376945

Large Sample Properties of the Three-Step Euclidean Likelihood Estimators Under Model Misspecification

2008· preprint· en· W2248376945 on OpenAlexaff
Prosper Dovonon

Bibliographic record

VenueMunich Personal RePEc Archive (Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich) · 2008
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Methods and Inference
Canadian institutionsConcordia University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEstimatorMathematicsApplied mathematicsAsymptotic distributionGaussianStatisticsConsistent estimatorEconometricsMinimum-variance unbiased estimator
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This paper studies the three-step Euclidean likelihood (3S) estimator and its corrected version as proposed by Antoine, Bonnal and Renault (2007) in globally misspecified models. We establish that the 3S estimator stays √n-convergent and asymptotically Gaussian. The discontinuity in the shrinkage factor makes the analysis of the corrected-3S estimator harder to carry out in misspecified models. We propose a slight modification to this factor to control its rate of divergence in case of misspecification. We show that the resulting modified-3S estimator is also higher order equivalent to the maximum empirical likelihood (EL) estimator in well specified models and √n-convergent\nand asymptotically Gaussian in misspecified models. Its asymptotic distribution robust to misspecification is also provided. Because of these properties, both the 3S and the modified-3S estimators could be considered as computationally attractive alternatives to the exponentially tilted empirical likelihood estimator proposed by Schennach (2007) which also is higher order equivalent to EL in well specified models and √n-convergent in misspecified models.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.487
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0020.003
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.112
GPT teacher head0.285
Teacher spread0.173 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2008
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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