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Record W2257039346

ГЛУБИННАЯ ДЕГАЗАЦИЯ ОЗОНОВЫЙ СЛОЙ И ПОГОДНЫЕ АНОМАЛИИ В СЕВЕРНОМ ПОЛУШАРИИ ЛЕТОМ 2015 Г.: АНОМАЛЬНАЯ ЖАРА В ЕВРОПЕНА ЧУКОТКЕ, В МАГАДАНЕ; АНОМАЛЬНЫЙ ХОЛОД В ЦЕНТРАЛЬНОЙ РОССИИ; ПРИРОДНЫЕ ПОЖАРЫ В ИСПАНИИ, НА УКРАИНЕ И В СИБИРИ

2015· article· ru· W2257039346 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Владимир Леонидович Сывороткин

Bibliographic record

VenueПространство и Время · 2015
Typearticle
Languageru
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicArctic and Russian Policy Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsOzoneOzone layerClimatologyAtmosphere (unit)Environmental scienceAtmospheric sciencesMeteorologyGeographyGeology
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Identifying the causes of natural disasters and anomalies is a major problem both scientifically and socially. Based on ozone layer daily monitoring and using system, comparative and discourse analysis, I review media reports on weather anomalies in comparison with total ozone maps. I show modern explanation of natural anomalies are absurd and inconclusive. Thus, according to Russian meteorologists, cold cyclone with the center in Kara Sea has brought anomalous cold in Russian North. Explanation of anomalous cold weather by the fact that the north of European Russia was hit by rear part of this cyclone (there is no other option in the arsenal of modern meteorology) is an example of such inconclusive arguments. In July, when the snow fell in Vorkuta, the air over the Kara Sea was warmer than on the coast. real reason for cold weather was a high concentration of ozone. To the south and southwest of the ozone positive anomalies, situation remained unchanged, and threats (heatwave and associated with the situation wildfires) also did not changed. Moreover, it turns out that both the cold and heat wave in Moscow in July and August, meteorologists explain by the appearance of the northern air masses (?!). In my article, I prove the main cause of the weather (and climate) anomalies is the fluctuations of the ozone total quantity (total ozone) in the atmosphere. These fluctuations are caused by (i) emission of the deep gases (hydrogen and methane), which destruct ozone, and (ii) variations of the geomagnetic field, which increase the concentration of ozone. positive ozone anomalies cool the troposphere and create anti-cyclones, dry, heavy and slow moving air masses. negative anomalies warm up the air and create the cyclonic masses with law pressure. nearest anticyclones could move to that area bringing with them the anomalous temperatures, sometimes very high and sometimes very law. Analysis of information on weather anomalies on the territory of Eurasia and Japan allowed me to once again demonstrate the correctness of the hypothesis of deep degassing as the cause of destruction of the ozone layer.  weather (climate) anomaly; anomalies of ozone; ozone layer; total ozone maps; deep degassing; hydrogen; wildfires; origins of wildfirs; heat waves; abnormal chill; Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations Abnormal Sunny Wimbledon. GISMETEO. News. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, 1 June Web. . (In Russian). Chita Is Shrouded in Smoke; in Transbaikalia, Forest Fires Area Is Growing. NEWS.RU.com. N.p., 31 July Web. . (In Russian). Europe Dried Away from the Heat Wave. GISMETEO. News. N.p., 2 July Web. . (In Russian). Fires Area in Siberia Per Day Have Increased Threefold. NEWS.RU.com. N.p., 10 Aug. Web. . (In Russian). Forest Fires in Buryatiya Does Not Subside. GISMETEO. News. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, 30 June Web. . (In Russian). Heat Waves in Japan. Russian Information Agency Novosti. Ukraine. RIA Novosti, Inc., 23 July Web. . (In Russian). In ‘the Beach’ of Okhotsk Sea, 30-degree Heat Is Fixed. GISMETEO. News. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, 10 July Web. . (In Russian). In Buryatya, All Fires Are Extinguished. RADIONEWS. N.p., 21 Sept. Web. . (In Russian). In Magadan, Absolute Maximum Temperature Is Updated. GISMETEO. News. N.p., 9 July Web. . (In Russian). Meteorologist Said What Will Be the Residue of Summer in Moscow. GISMETEO. News. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, 14 Aug. Web. . (In Russian). Moscow Comes into the Coolest Period of This Summer. GISMETEO. News. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, 16 Aug. Web. . (In Russian). Natural Paradox Resort Heat on The Beach of Chukotka and Abnormal Cold in the Houses in Kamchatka. GISMETEO. News. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, 30 June Web. . (In Russian). One of the Surprises of Season: Weather in Murmansk Is Warmer than in Moscow. GISMETEO. News. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, 18 Aug. Web. . (In Russian). Ones Are Extinguish Another Four Fire Centers in ‘Chornobyl Dense Forest’. Russian Information Agency Novosti. Ukraine. RIA Novosti, Inc., 3 July Web. . (In Russian). Puchkov, Who Arrived in Krasnoyarsk, Has Promised To Eliminate All Fires in Siberia for Two and a Half Days. NEWS.RU.com. N.p., 14 Aug. Web. . (In Russian). Select Ozone Maps. Ozone and Ultraviolet Research and Monitoring. Environment Canada's World Wide Web Site. Green LaneTM. Web. . Spain: Heat Prevents Firefighters Coping With Fire. RIA Novosti Ukraine. Russian Information Agency Novosti. Ukraine. RIA Novosti, Inc., 9 July Web. . (In Russian). Syvorotkin V.L. Deep Degassing, Ozone Layer, Weather Anomalies and Natural Disasters of Winter 2012-2013: Snow Storm, Freezing Rains, Wildfires, Mass Fish Mortality, Explosion at the Mine, and Chelyabinsk Bolide. Space and Time 1 (2013): 162–175. (In Russian). Syvorotkin V.L. Deep Degassing of the Earth and Geo-Ecological Problems in Frontier Areas of Electronic Scientific Edition Almanac Space and Time 3.1 (2013). PDF-file. . (In Russian). Syvorotkin V.L. Deep Degassing, Ozone Layer and Natural Fires in the European Russia in the Summer of 2010. Space and Time 2 (2010): 175–182. (In Russian). The Highest Level of Fire Danger in the Kiev Region. Russian Information Agency Novosti. Ukraine. RIA Novosti, Inc., 9 July Web. . (In Russian). The Main  Weather and Climate Features in Northern Hemisphere in July 2015. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, July 2015 Web. . (In Russian). Why Did Snow Fall in North-East of European Russia in July?. GISMETEO. News. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, 6 July Web. . (In Russian). Syvorotkin, V. L. Deep Degassing, Ozone Layer and Weather Anomalies in Northern Hemisphere in Summer 2015: Heat Waves in Europe, in Chukotka, and in Magadan; Abnormal Chill in the Central Russia; Wildfires in Spain, in Ukraine and Siberia. Space and Time 3 (2015): 292–303. (In Russian). Fixed network address 2226-7271provr_st3-21.2015.91.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.009
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.005
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Science and technology studies, Scholarly communication, Open science, Research integrity, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Science and technology studies, Research integrity, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.741
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0090.005
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0050.004
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0050.003
Bibliometrics0.0020.006
Science and technology studies0.0060.007
Scholarly communication0.0020.003
Open science0.0060.003
Research integrity0.0040.005
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.020

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.087
GPT teacher head0.382
Teacher spread0.295 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2015
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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