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Record W2269598916

Impact of Winter Road Conditions on Highway Speed and Volume

2014· dissertation· en· W2269598916 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Garrett Donaher

Bibliographic record

VenueUWSpace (University of Waterloo) · 2014
Typedissertation
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicSmart Materials for Construction
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTransport engineeringEnvironmental scienceVolume (thermodynamics)Traffic volumeEngineeringCivil engineeringPhysicsThermodynamics
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Several past studies have attempted to quantify the impact of winter weather conditions on highway mobility in terms of traffic volume, speed, and capacity. While consistent in their general findings, these studies have shown considerably different results in terms of effect size and contributing factors. More importantly, most of these studies have not attempted to model the effects of winter maintenance operations on mobility or isolate these effects from those due to snowstorm characteristics, rendering their results and the proposed methods of limited use for estimating the benefits of maintenance activities. This research attempts to address this gap through a statistical analysis of a data set that is unique in terms of spatial and temporal coverage and data completeness. The data set includes both event based and hourly observations of road weather and surface conditions, maintenance operations, traffic volume and speed, as well as several other measures, from 21 highway sections across the province of Ontario.
\nEvent based information is available for six winter seasons (2000 to 2006) at 19 of the sites. For this event based data a matched pair technique was employed to determine the changes in traffic volumes and speeds under matched conditions with and without snow events. A regression analysis was subsequently performed to relate the changes in traffic volume and speed over an event to changes in various contributing factors such as highway type, snow event characteristics and road surface conditions. A case study was conducted to illustrate the application of the developed models for quantifying the mobility impact of road surface condition and the mobility benefit of winter maintenance operations.
\nComplete hourly records were available for all 21 sites for three winter seasons. This was used to perform the evaluation on an hourly basis. A matching technique is employed to assign hour-by-hour median speeds observed under typical weather and road surface conditions to each hour of a snowstorm event. A regression analysis is subsequently performed to relate changes from average hourly speed to various contributing factors such as highway type, weather conditions and maintenance operations. Effects of maintenance operations are represented by an intermediate variable called road surface condition index (RSI). A case study is conducted to illustrate the application of the developed models for quantifying the mobility impact of winter snowstorms and the mobility benefit of maintenance operations.
\nThe models developed in these analyses confirmed the relationships between weather variables and traffic volume and speed described in the literature. In addition a strong association between road surface condition and traffic volumes and speed was identified.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.507
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.006
GPT teacher head0.201
Teacher spread0.196 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2014
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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