MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W2282245115 · doi:10.1136/bmj.i1072

NHS overspend reaches £2.3bn

2016· article· en· W2282245115 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Susan Mayor

Bibliographic record

VenueBMJ · 2016
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldHealth Professions
TopicHealth Services Management and Policy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsQuarter (Canadian coin)BusinessFinanceGeographyArchaeology

Abstract

The NHS overspent by £2.26bn (€2.9bn; $3.2bn) in the first three quarters of this financial year (April to December 2015), a report from Monitor and the NHS Trust Development Authority showed.1 The overspend is forecast to reach £2.37bn by the end of March. The deficit is £622m more than planned for by the health regulators. The planned £1.6bn was reached at the end of the second quarter. Providers were told that the deficit must be kept below £1.8bn. “This level of deficit is neither sustainable nor affordable …

Stored with the screening record, where it is evidence for the labels above.

How this classification was reachedexpand

The three-model screen

all 5,600 screened works →

All three models called this out of scope.

stratum: about_only · design weight: 3321.24 (the sample is stratified; any rate computed without the weight is wrong)
Claude Opus 4.8OUT
genre: other
about Canada: no
confidence: high

News item on NHS budget overspend; health system finance, not research.

GPT-5.6 (high)OUT
genre: other
about Canada: no
confidence: high

The article reports NHS financial deficits and does not study research or its ecosystem.

Grok 4.5OUT
genre: editorial/commentary
about Canada: no
confidence: high

News item on NHS budget overspend; health-system finance, not research practice.

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.008
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.184
Threshold uncertainty score0.000

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.008
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0020.001
Scholarly communication0.0040.004
Open science0.0010.005
Research integrity0.0040.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.1840.074

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.164
GPT teacher head0.524
Teacher spread0.360 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2016
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueBMJSame topicHealth Services Management and PolicyFrench-language works237,207