Functional diversity of North American broad‐leaved trees is codetermined by past and current environmental factors
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Modern and historical climate are known to codetermine broad‐scale species richness and composition patterns in temperate regions. Nonetheless, is poorly understood the extent to which these effects individually or in combination determine functional diversity, many studies have simply assumed equilibrium between current climate and functional diversity. We estimated functional richness ( F R ich ) and dispersion ( F D isp ) of North American broad‐leaved trees by combining distribution and trait information. Then, we determined if contemporary water‐energy availability, current topographic variability, historical climatic stability, and lagged immigration from glacial refugia co‐determined the functional diversity of North American broad‐leaved trees. We did this by assessing the directionality, magnitude, and relative importance of various contemporary and historical environmental factors know to affect species diversity. Contrasts were performed across all North America (Mexico, United States, and Canada), and areas within this region that were glaciated or ice‐free during the Last Glacial Maximum (~21 000 yr ago). F R ich and F D isp showed distinct geographic patterns that are strongly associated with both contemporary environmental conditions and glacial–interglacial climate change. Model averaged regression coefficients and AIC ‐based variable relative importance estimates show that contemporary productivity ( F R ich ‐ w AIC : 1.0; F D isp ‐ w AIC : 1.0), annual precipitation ( F R ich ‐ w AIC : 0.81; F D isp ‐ w AIC : 1.0), and accessibility to glacial refugia ( F R ich ‐ w AIC : 0.92; F D isp ‐ w AIC : 1.0) have the strongest associations to F R ich and F D isp . Furthermore, the association of functional diversity with topographic heterogeneity showed steeper slopes in ice‐free regions. These findings suggest that, contrary to the expectation climate‐diversity equilibrium, functional diversity of North America broad‐leaved trees is codetermined by current climate and lagged immigration from glacial refugia.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it