Predicting progression from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease using longitudinal callosal atrophy
Bibliographic record
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: We investigate whether longitudinal callosal atrophy could predict conversion from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer's disease (AD). METHODS: Longitudinal (baseline + 1-year follow-up) MRI scans of 132 MCI subjects from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative were used. A total of 54 subjects did not convert to AD over an average (±SD) follow-up of 5.46 (±1.63) years, whereas 78 converted to AD with an average conversion time of 2.56 (±1.65) years. Annual change in the corpus callosum thickness profile was calculated from the baseline and 1-year follow-up MRI. A logistic regression model with fused lasso regularization for prediction was applied to the annual changes. RESULTS: We found a sex difference. The accuracy of prediction was 84% in females and 61% in males. The discriminating regions of corpus callosum differed between sexes. In females, the genu, rostrum, and posterior body had predictive power, whereas the genu and splenium were relevant in males. DISCUSSION: Annual callosal atrophy predicts MCI-to-AD conversion in females more accurately than in males.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".