High Resolution Flash Flood Forecasting for the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Urban flash flooding is a serious problem in large highly populated areas such as the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex (DFW). Being able to monitor and predict flash flooding at a high spatiotemporal resolution is critical to mitigating its threats and for cost effective emergency management. In this work, the prototype high resolution flash flood warning system under de velopment for DFW is described and a case study of the flash flooding event of 2014-06-24 in Fort Worth presented. The high resolution (500 m, 1 min) precipitation input comes from the DFW Demonstration Network of the Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere (CASA) X-band radars. The hydrologic model used is the National Weather Service Hydrology Laboratory's Distributed Hydrologic Model (HL-RDHM) operating at a 500 m resolution. The model simulation results are assessed using the flooding reports received from residents throughout the event by the City of Fort Worth.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it